ASA Arapiraquense vs Retro FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 1
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
RFC
3 - 3
ASA
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 3
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
ASA
0 - 2
ITA
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
RFC
2 - 2
ITA
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
RFC
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
RFC
3 - 3
ASA
59%
23%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
RFC
0 - 0
SDJ
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
RFC
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |