ASA Arapiraquense vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
4 - 1
ASA
50%
26%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SER
2 - 0
ASA
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ASA
0 - 1
RFC
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 1
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 1
SER
24%
26%
50%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 2
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 3
SDJ
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 1
MUR
72%
19%
9%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |