Agde vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Agde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
AGD
2 - 0
HYE
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
AGD
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AGD
0 - 1
CON
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 0
AGD
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BEZ
1 - 1
AGD
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
UZE
4 - 2
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
GAP
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GDB
2 - 0
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAN
16%
26%
58%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
LEP
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |