Afumati vs Botosani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
67.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afumati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
AFU
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 1
AFU
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
AFU
3 - 1
BER
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AFU
2 - 0
APT
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
UTA
2 - 1
AFU
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Botosani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
AST
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PAN
2 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
DBU
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CSU
1 - 0
BOT
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CON
0 - 2
BOT
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |