African Warriors vs Engen Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
African Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 0
WAR
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 1
ALL
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 1
WAR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 2
CAP
38%
28%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 0
WAR
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Engen Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 4
EAG
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
THA
1 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
SFC
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
FRE
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
SAN
64%
23%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |