Afips vs Druzhba Maykop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afips
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
FCK
1 - 2
AFI
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
AFI
0 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
AFI
2 - 1
BIO
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 0
AFI
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AFI
2 - 2
CHE
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Druzhba Maykop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
DMA
3 - 2
BIO
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
DMA
75%
17%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
DMA
1 - 1
CHE
13%
23%
64%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SOC
2 - 1
DMA
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
FCK
3 - 1
DMA
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |