Varndeanians vs Pagham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
77.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HAS
4 - 1
VAR
75%
15%
10%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 2
VAR
88%
9%
3%
|
8 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 2
CRA
7%
12%
81%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
AUC
4 - 1
VAR
79%
13%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LCO
5 - 0
VAR
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PEA
0 - 2
PAG
19%
19%
62%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 0
AUC
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 2
ALF
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 1
PAG
40%
22%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TOW
0 - 3
PAG
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |