Varndeanians vs Crawley Down Gatwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
77.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
LCO
13%
18%
70%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
EAS
4 - 1
VAR
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MEF
3 - 2
VAR
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
CRO
7%
14%
80%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 3
PEA
11%
18%
72%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Down Gatwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HAS
3 - 1
CRA
54%
21%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
CRA
4 - 2
HOR
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CRA
4 - 2
EAS
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CRA
4 - 1
MEF
49%
20%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 1
PAG
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |