AFC Telford United vs Farsley Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
52.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 1
AFC
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 2
BRA
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 2
AFC
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 2
AFC
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 0
BOS
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Farsley Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
FAR
2 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MIC
1 - 2
FAR
13%
19%
69%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 2
FAR
22%
21%
57%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 4
FAR
11%
17%
71%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 0
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |