AFC Sudbury vs Ipswich Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
YEL
0 - 0
NEE
32%
24%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DER
2 - 0
YEL
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
MAL
3 - 2
YEL
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
YEL
3 - 0
WAL
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
YEL
1 - 2
SOH
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ipswich Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
IPS
0 - 0
WIV
21%
22%
58%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |