AFC Sudbury vs Bury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+108%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
STO
3 - 0
YEL
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 1
YEL
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
YEL
1 - 0
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
HTG
3 - 2
YEL
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
HUL
1 - 1
YEL
9%
16%
76%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Bury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
STO
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BUR
2 - 2
GRA
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
BUR
40%
24%
37%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 2
BAS
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BUR
4 - 0
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |