AFC Sudbury vs Barking analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
STA
4 - 0
YEL
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
YEL
2 - 1
CTF
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
YEL
4 - 2
HAR
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
NEE
3 - 2
YEL
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
ROM
1 - 2
YEL
36%
23%
42%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Barking
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
6 - 1
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 2
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
HEY
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
UXB
2 - 1
BAR
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |