AFC Hornchurch vs Heybridge Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
LFC
2 - 5
HOR
22%
24%
53%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 2
ASH
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BIL
0 - 2
HOR
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
RAM
1 - 1
HOR
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HOR
2 - 1
FOL
72%
19%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
HEY
1 - 2
CHM
29%
28%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
HEN
1 - 1
HEY
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
HEY
1 - 0
HAR
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
HEY
2 - 1
MAI
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HAS
1 - 0
HEY
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |