AFC Hornchurch vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BOS
5 - 2
HOR
57%
22%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
HOR
2 - 3
DOR
73%
16%
11%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
WEL
1 - 1
HOR
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
LEW
1 - 2
HOR
31%
25%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
HOR
1 - 1
BOG
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
GRA
6 - 0
BOG
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GRA
4 - 0
MAI
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
DOR
0 - 7
GRA
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
GRA
4 - 2
WEL
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
WES
2 - 0
GRA
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -2 |