AFC Hornchurch vs Billericay Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 3
WEL
18%
25%
57%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 0
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
WES
1 - 0
HOR
50%
23%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
HAY
1 - 3
HOR
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 0
EAS
32%
27%
42%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BIL
2 - 0
BAT
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BIL
1 - 2
DOV
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
WEL
5 - 2
BIL
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BIL
0 - 3
CAM
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
DOV
4 - 1
BIL
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |