AFC Emley vs Newton Aycliffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Emley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 0
DUN
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 0
AFC
39%
23%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 3
AFC
16%
20%
65%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 2
AFC
10%
17%
74%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 5
HUR
8%
16%
76%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Newton Aycliffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
RYL
3 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
15%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
RYL
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VAU
1 - 1
NEW
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAM
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAM
1 - 1
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |