AFC Dunstable vs Bedford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 2
AFD
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BIG
4 - 3
AFD
13%
17%
69%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
LEV
2 - 2
AFD
17%
20%
63%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
AYL
0 - 2
AFD
15%
22%
63%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BFC
0 - 7
AFD
10%
16%
73%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Bedford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BED
1 - 4
WEA
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BED
0 - 6
HEM
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 3
BED
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
BED
1 - 1
PET
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
STO
1 - 2
BED
10%
14%
76%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |