PDL USA Central conference Round 6

AFC Ann Arbor vs Midwest United analysis

AFC Ann Arbor Midwest United
51 ELO 51
-9.4% Tilt 0%
5680º General ELO ranking 5719º
112º Country ELO ranking 114º
ELO win probability
39.7%
AFC Ann Arbor
25.3%
Draw
34.9%
Midwest United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
AFC Ann Arbor
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.9%
Win probability
Midwest United
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

Points and table prediction

AFC Ann Arbor
Their league position
Midwest United
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
22º
12º
13
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Des Moines Menace
22
31
100%
Fort Wayne
19
28
100%
Flint City Bucks
21
27
100%
Sueno
16
26
0%
Minneapolis City
20
26
0%
Peoria
22
25
0%
Midwest United
14º
13
25
0%
Lexington II
13º
14
24
100%
RKC
15
22
100%
Steel City
10º
15
21
10º
0%
Rochester
16º
12
21
11º
0%
AFC Ann Arbor
15º
13
21
12º
0%
Oakland County
12º
14
20
13º
100%
Buffalo
16
19
14º
100%
West Virginia United
16
17
15º
0%
Northern Indiana
22º
10
17
16º
0%
Kings Hammer Columbus
11º
15
16
17º
100%
Akron City FC
19º
11
15
18º
0%
River Light
17º
12
15
19º
0%
Sunflower State FC
28º
5
14
20º
0%
Union Macomb
20º
11
14
21º
0%
Kalamazoo FC
21º
10
14
22º
100%
Santafé Wanderers
24º
7
13
23º
100%
Springfield
18º
12
12
24º
100%
St. Louis Ambush
23º
7
10
25º
100%
Kings Hammer Cincinnati
29º
5
9
26º
100%
Dayton Dutch Lions
27º
5
8
27º
100%
Cleveland Force
25º
6
7
28º
100%
St. Croix
30º
4
7
29º
100%
Erie Sports Center
26º
6
6
30º
100%
Chicago Dutch Lions
32º
0
3
31º
100%
Lansing City
31º
0
0
32º
100%
Expected probabilities
AFC Ann Arbor
Midwest United
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

AFC Ann Arbor
Midwest United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Ann Arbor
AFC Ann Arbor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2025
KAL
Kalamazoo FC
0 - 0
AFC Ann Arbor
AAA
40%
25%
36%
50 47 3 0
11 Jun. 2025
NIF
Northern Indiana
0 - 0
AFC Ann Arbor
AAA
12%
16%
73%
50 29 21 0
08 Jun. 2025
AAA
AFC Ann Arbor
3 - 2
Flint City Bucks
MIC
20%
22%
58%
49 64 15 +1
01 Jun. 2025
AAA
AFC Ann Arbor
1 - 2
Kalamazoo FC
KAL
39%
25%
36%
50 51 1 -1
26 May. 2025
AAA
AFC Ann Arbor
1 - 3
Oakland County
OAK
68%
18%
15%
51 38 13 -1

Matches

Midwest United
Midwest United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2025
UFM
Union Macomb
1 - 3
Midwest United
MUF
15%
18%
67%
52 32 20 0
12 Jun. 2025
KAL
Kalamazoo FC
0 - 5
Midwest United
MUF
43%
25%
32%
50 49 1 +2
07 Jun. 2025
MUF
Midwest United
2 - 1
Oakland County
OAK
66%
18%
17%
50 40 10 0
05 Jun. 2025
MUF
Midwest United
2 - 0
Flint City Bucks
MIC
20%
21%
58%
48 65 17 +2
22 May. 2025
MUF
Midwest United
6 - 0
Northern Indiana
NIF
87%
9%
4%
48 10 38 0