PDL USA Central conference Round 3

AFC Ann Arbor vs Lansing City analysis

AFC Ann Arbor Lansing City
50 ELO 36
-10.6% Tilt 5.1%
5668º General ELO ranking 10402º
111º Country ELO ranking 182º
ELO win probability
69.8%
AFC Ann Arbor
17%
Draw
13.2%
Lansing City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
AFC Ann Arbor
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.2%
Win probability
Lansing City
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Ann Arbor
+20%
-56%
Lansing City

Points and table prediction

AFC Ann Arbor
Their league position
Lansing City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
13
10º
18º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Flint City Bucks
33
33
100%
Midwest United
31
31
100%
Kalamazoo FC
27
27
100%
AFC Ann Arbor
26
26
100%
Fort Wayne
26
26
100%
Thunder Bay Chill
25
25
100%
Peoria
24
24
100%
Des Moines Menace
23
23
100%
River Light
23
23
100%
Bavarian United
10º
21
21
10º
100%
Cleveland Force
11º
20
20
11º
100%
Toledo Villa
13º
19
19
12º
0%
RKC
12º
19
19
13º
0%
Buffalo
14º
18
18
14º
100%
St. Croix
15º
17
17
15º
100%
Minneapolis City
16º
15
15
16º
100%
St. Charles
17º
14
14
17º
0%
Oakland County
18º
14
14
18º
0%
Lansing City
19º
13
13
19º
0%
Union Macomb
20º
13
13
20º
0%
Kings Hammer Cincinnati
21º
10
10
21º
100%
Sueno
22º
10
10
22º
100%
Chicago City
23º
8
8
23º
100%
Rochester
24º
7
7
24º
100%
Dayton Dutch Lions
25º
6
6
25º
100%
Michiana FC
26º
2
2
26º
100%
Chicago Dutch Lions
27º
0
0
27º
100%
Expected probabilities
AFC Ann Arbor
Lansing City
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

AFC Ann Arbor
Lansing City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Ann Arbor
AFC Ann Arbor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jul. 2024
SBL
Michiana FC
0 - 6
AFC Ann Arbor
AAA
13%
17%
71%
49 29 20 0
04 Jul. 2024
AAA
AFC Ann Arbor
1 - 2
Flint City Bucks
MIC
17%
20%
64%
49 65 16 0
30 Jun. 2024
LCF
Lansing City
3 - 5
AFC Ann Arbor
AAA
26%
21%
53%
48 38 10 +1
23 Jun. 2024
KAL
Kalamazoo FC
2 - 1
AFC Ann Arbor
AAA
47%
24%
30%
49 51 2 -1
19 Jun. 2024
UFM
Union Macomb
2 - 3
AFC Ann Arbor
AAA
8%
14%
79%
49 9 40 0

Matches

Lansing City
Lansing City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2024
UFM
Union Macomb
3 - 2
Lansing City
LCF
12%
17%
71%
38 17 21 0
04 Jul. 2024
LCF
Lansing City
2 - 0
Oakland County
OAK
38%
22%
40%
37 40 3 +1
30 Jun. 2024
LCF
Lansing City
3 - 5
AFC Ann Arbor
AAA
26%
21%
53%
38 48 10 -1
27 Jun. 2024
MUF
Midwest United
5 - 0
Lansing City
LCF
64%
19%
18%
39 47 8 -1
22 Jun. 2024
LCF
Lansing City
1 - 1
Kalamazoo FC
KAL
22%
20%
59%
39 51 12 0