AFC Ann Arbor vs FC Indiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.5%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
13.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.9%
1.5%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Ann Arbor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
AAA
1 - 0
COL
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
GRF
2 - 0
AAA
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
AAA
4 - 0
KAL
73%
15%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
DET
0 - 1
AAA
56%
22%
21%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
AAA
1 - 1
MIT
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Indiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
COL
9 - 0
IND
93%
5%
1%
|
5 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
IND
1 - 5
KAL
4%
10%
86%
|
5 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
GRF
6 - 0
IND
94%
5%
1%
|
5 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
IND
2 - 3
MIT
4%
10%
86%
|
5 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
DET
8 - 0
IND
94%
5%
1%
|
5 | 43 | 38 | 0 |