Afan Lido vs Pontyclun FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
6.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 3
LID
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LID
2 - 2
UND
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
LID
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LID
1 - 0
TON
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 1
LID
69%
18%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Pontyclun FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
NEW
6 - 0
PFC
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 56 | 49 | 0 |