Champions League Grupo E. Jor. 2

AEK Athens vs Benfica analysis

AEK Athens Benfica
85 ELO 87
9% Tilt -21.9%
268º General ELO ranking 77º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.2%
AEK Athens
24.5%
Draw
31.2%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
AEK Athens
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.2%
Win probability
Benfica
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AEK Athens
+15%
+6%
Benfica

ELO progression

AEK Athens
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AEK Athens
AEK Athens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2018
OFI
OFI
0 - 3
AEK Athens
AEK
12%
26%
62%
85 51 34 0
23 Sep. 2018
PAO
PAOK
2 - 0
AEK Athens
AEK
58%
23%
19%
85 86 1 0
19 Sep. 2018
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
AEK Athens
AEK
60%
23%
17%
86 87 1 -1
15 Sep. 2018
AEK
AEK Athens
4 - 0
Panionios
PAN
80%
15%
6%
86 70 16 0
01 Sep. 2018
TRI
Asteras Tripolis
0 - 1
AEK Athens
AEK
40%
29%
32%
81 76 5 +5

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2018
CHA
Chaves
2 - 2
Benfica
SLB
16%
22%
62%
87 73 14 0
23 Sep. 2018
SLB
Benfica
2 - 0
Desportivo Aves
AVE
81%
13%
6%
87 68 19 0
19 Sep. 2018
SLB
Benfica
0 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
15%
18%
67%
87 94 7 0
15 Sep. 2018
SLB
Benfica
2 - 1
Rio Ave
RIO
73%
17%
10%
87 79 8 0
02 Sep. 2018
NAC
Nacional
0 - 4
Benfica
SLB
14%
20%
66%
88 69 19 -1
X