Atenas vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
TAC
1 - 1
ATE
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ATE
2 - 1
JUN
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
ATE
2 - 0
PRO
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CSC
0 - 1
ATE
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 7
ATE
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 1
DEF
51%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 2
RAC
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ETS
0 - 1
RIV
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 1
DAN
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SUD
2 - 1
RIV
19%
25%
57%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |