Atenas vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
CER
1 - 1
ATE
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ATE
0 - 0
ROC
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
DAN
2 - 1
ATE
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
ATE
1 - 1
JUN
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ATE
0 - 2
CSC
40%
26%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
DEF
4 - 0
CEN
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 2
DEF
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
CER
0 - 0
DEF
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 1
ROC
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
CEL
0 - 0
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |