Adriese vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adriese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
SDA
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SDA
3 - 1
CAR
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LEG
4 - 3
SDA
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
SDA
55%
24%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SDA
3 - 1
VIG
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
BEL
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CLO
2 - 2
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CJA
4 - 3
VIL
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 4
GSD
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |