Riccione vs Adriese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
55.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riccione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RIC
3 - 1
ASS
86%
10%
5%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
RIC
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
RIC
2 - 0
COR
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 2
RIC
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RIC
1 - 0
LEN
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Adriese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SDA
0 - 0
LEV
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
SDA
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SDA
1 - 1
LEG
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CJA
2 - 1
SDA
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SDA
0 - 2
CAL
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |