Admira Wacker vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
14º
10º
34
5º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Admira Wacker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
VOR
2 - 1
AWM
16%
22%
61%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
AWM
3 - 0
ALT
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
AWM
1 - 0
SKN
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
VIE
1 - 1
AWM
17%
22%
61%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AWM
3 - 2
AUS
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STU
1 - 2
AUS
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FCL
4 - 2
STU
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
STU
0 - 2
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SKN
2 - 5
STU
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
STU
1 - 1
RAP
52%
23%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |