Adelante Reconquista vs Ferroviario Corrientes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelante Reconquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
OCF
3 - 3
ADE
8%
15%
77%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 0
ALU
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
JGB
2 - 1
ADE
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ADE
3 - 1
HUR
65%
20%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FON
2 - 0
ADE
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Ferroviario Corrientes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SFE
3 - 1
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
IND
2 - 3
SFE
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SFE
0 - 0
RES
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
OCF
0 - 1
SFE
17%
21%
63%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SFE
0 - 0
ALU
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |