Adelaide Victory vs Adelaide Comets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
75.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BOS
5 - 0
AVF
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AVF
1 - 2
PAR
13%
16%
71%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AVF
7 - 0
FUL
41%
22%
37%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Adelaide Comets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
MOD
2 - 4
ADE
18%
21%
61%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CAM
3 - 0
ADE
51%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ADE
4 - 0
NEM
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 0
ADE
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -4 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ADE
1 - 0
CAM
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |