Adelaide United vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 1
ADE
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PER
5 - 3
ADE
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ADE
2 - 0
MCI
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
WUF
0 - 0
ADE
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MCI
1 - 3
PER
57%
23%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 1
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
WUF
5 - 4
PER
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PER
5 - 3
ADE
35%
26%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
PER
0 - 1
FCT
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |