Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
ADE
0 - 5
PER
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CCM
2 - 1
ADE
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ADE
2 - 2
WPH
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
SYD
2 - 0
ADE
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
ADE
2 - 1
MCI
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 0
MEL
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PER
3 - 2
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 1
MCI
25%
27%
49%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
WES
2 - 0
NEW
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |