Adelaide United Sub 21 vs South Adelaide Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
8º
8º
8
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 37 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 36 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 36 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 0% |
| Relegation playoffs | 0% | 0% |
| Relegation | 0% | 100% |
ELO progression
SAP
ADE
PAR
ADE
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO ADE | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADE
47%
27%
26%
|
229 | 294 | 65 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ADE
2 - 0
ADO
46%
27%
27%
|
227 | 233 | -6 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
47%
27%
26%
|
228 | 260 | 32 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 2
ADE
47%
27%
26%
|
227 | 301 | 74 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
CRO
2 - 1
ADE
47%
27%
26%
|
228 | 268 | 40 | -1 |
Matches
South Adelaide Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SAP | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SAP
0 - 2
PAR
46%
27%
28%
|
126 | 176 | -50 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ADE
1 - 0
SAP
50%
26%
25%
|
127 | 418 | 291 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
WAD
4 - 1
SAP
47%
27%
26%
|
128 | 266 | 138 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ADE
4 - 0
SAP
47%
27%
26%
|
131 | 170 | 39 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
SAP
0 - 1
ADE
39%
28%
33%
|
132 | 296 | -164 | -1 |