Adelaide Olympic vs Sturt Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
19.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ADE
2 - 0
ADO
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
ADO
4 - 1
CRO
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ADO
4 - 2
ADE
66%
18%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAP
2 - 2
ADO
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ADO
1 - 1
CUM
69%
17%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SLF
1 - 1
ADE
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SLF
2 - 1
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SLF
4 - 1
ADE
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SLF
1 - 1
CRO
32%
23%
46%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
SLF
3 - 1
SAP
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |