Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
12º
9º
19
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WAD
2 - 0
ADO
40%
24%
37%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ADO
3 - 2
CRO
37%
24%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ADE
6 - 0
ADO
78%
15%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ADO
2 - 3
CUM
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CRO
0 - 1
ADO
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
South Adelaide Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
SAP
3 - 1
ADE
12%
17%
71%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
6 - 2
SAP
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEM
2 - 1
SAP
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 3
ADE
16%
20%
65%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CUM
0 - 7
SAP
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |