Adelaide Olympic vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
68.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
12º
9º
31
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
2% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
3 - 0
ADO
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ADO
0 - 3
SAP
37%
22%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WAD
2 - 0
ADO
40%
24%
37%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ADO
3 - 2
CRO
37%
24%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ADE
6 - 0
ADO
78%
15%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 3
ADE
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ADE
0 - 2
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
SAP
3 - 1
ADE
12%
17%
71%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 0
WAD
81%
13%
7%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |