Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Comets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
SAP
1 - 1
ADE
18%
20%
62%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 2
ADE
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 1
CUM
79%
14%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 0
ADE
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
ADE
2 - 0
SLF
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SLF
2 - 2
NEM
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ADO
2 - 2
SLF
62%
19%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SLF
1 - 1
ADE
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SLF
2 - 1
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |