Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.2%
2.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 3
ADE
16%
18%
66%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
WAD
1 - 3
ADE
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
ADE
1 - 1
79%
12%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
WES
0 - 2
ADE
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
ADE
0 - 3
CAM
71%
16%
12%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
NEM
5 - 3
SLF
86%
9%
4%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
SLF
2 - 0
ADE
6%
12%
81%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | +4 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
PAR
4 - 0
SLF
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ADO
2 - 2
SLF
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
SLF
1 - 1
WAD
4%
9%
87%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | +2 |