Adelaide City vs South Adelaide Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 0
ADE
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ADE
1 - 1
ADE
65%
18%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ADO
1 - 1
ADE
44%
21%
35%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
CAM
3 - 3
ADE
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
ADE
3 - 2
ADE
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
South Adelaide Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
WAD
4 - 1
SAP
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ADE
4 - 0
SAP
71%
16%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
SAP
0 - 1
ADE
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ADE
6 - 0
SAP
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
SAP
2 - 4
CAM
8%
15%
77%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -1 |