Australia Cup Play-Offs 1/16

Adelaide City vs Logan Lightning analysis

Adelaide City Logan Lightning
41 ELO 19
-9.2% Tilt -2.6%
7358º General ELO ranking 23651º
50º Country ELO ranking 171º
ELO win probability
73.9%
Adelaide City
17.2%
Draw
8.9%
Logan Lightning

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
Adelaide City
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.9%
Win probability
Logan Lightning
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Adelaide City
Logan Lightning
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Adelaide City
Adelaide City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2022
WES
West Torrens Birkalla
0 - 2
Adelaide City
ADE
8%
16%
75%
40 16 24 0
09 Jul. 2022
ADE
Adelaide City
3 - 3
74%
16%
10%
41 24 17 -1
02 Jul. 2022
WHI
White City
1 - 1
Adelaide City
ADE
13%
19%
69%
41 21 20 0
25 Jun. 2022
ADE
Adelaide City
0 - 1
MetroStars
NEM
56%
23%
21%
42 36 6 -1
18 Jun. 2022
ADE
Adelaide Comets
0 - 3
Adelaide City
ADE
34%
26%
41%
41 36 5 +1

Matches

Logan Lightning
Logan Lightning
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jul. 2022
MOR
Moreton City Excelsior
2 - 3
Logan Lightning
LOG
81%
12%
7%
18 32 14 0
19 Jul. 2022
GCK
Gold Coast Knights
2 - 2
Logan Lightning
LOG
81%
13%
6%
18 39 21 0
16 Jul. 2022
LOG
Logan Lightning
0 - 4
Queensland Lions FC
QUE
7%
13%
80%
19 45 26 -1
10 Jul. 2022
LOG
Logan Lightning
1 - 4
Olympic FC
OLY
9%
14%
77%
20 42 22 -1
01 Jul. 2022
GOL
Gold Coast United
0 - 1
Logan Lightning
LOG
82%
12%
7%
20 34 14 0
X