AD Plus Ultra vs Real Sociedad B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
RUN
2 - 1
PUL
56%
26%
18%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
PUL
1 - 1
SLA
34%
29%
37%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
CFP
2 - 0
PUL
60%
23%
16%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
PUL
2 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
ATB
2 - 2
PUL
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
RSO
0 - 2
EIB
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
EJE
2 - 2
RSO
21%
26%
53%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
RSO
2 - 0
MIR
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
CHA
3 - 1
RSO
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
CDT
3 - 0
RSO
56%
24%
19%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |