Apertura Colombia . Jor. 15

Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellín analysis

Deportivo Pasto Independiente Medellín
73 ELO 77
-7.2% Tilt -11.7%
540º General ELO ranking 339º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.5%
Deportivo Pasto
26.8%
Draw
39.7%
Independiente Medellín

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
Deportivo Pasto
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.7%
Win probability
Independiente Medellín
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deportivo Pasto
-11%
-1%
Independiente Medellín

ELO progression

Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellín
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2020
PAT
Patriotas Boyacá
1 - 1
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
29%
29%
42%
73 66 7 0
11 Oct. 2020
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
1 - 1
Deportivo Cali
CAL
31%
27%
43%
73 79 6 0
08 Oct. 2020
JUN
Junior
0 - 1
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
52%
27%
22%
72 79 7 +1
03 Oct. 2020
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
2 - 1
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
61%
23%
16%
72 63 9 0
30 Sep. 2020
AGU
Águilas Doradas
1 - 1
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
36%
29%
36%
72 68 4 0

Matches

Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2020
IND
Independiente Medellín
1 - 1
Jaguares FC
JAG
80%
14%
7%
77 61 16 0
11 Oct. 2020
CHI
Boyacá Chicó
1 - 0
Independiente Medellín
IND
17%
24%
58%
78 63 15 -1
09 Oct. 2020
IND
Independiente Medellín
4 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
63%
21%
17%
77 70 7 +1
05 Oct. 2020
EQU
La Equidad
1 - 0
Independiente Medellín
IND
33%
26%
41%
78 72 6 -1
01 Oct. 2020
CFC
Caracas
0 - 2
Independiente Medellín
IND
38%
25%
37%
77 74 3 +1
X