Copa Colombia . Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
PAS
1 - 2
NAC
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 1
PAS
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
PER
2 - 0
PAS
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PAS
1 - 0
ONC
42%
28%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
EQU
0 - 0
PAS
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
IND
1 - 2
MIL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
ENV
2 - 4
IND
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
ONC
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
IND
1 - 4
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
SFE
2 - 0
IND
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |