AD Orión vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Orión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 4
SUN
13%
20%
66%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
TIE
3 - 0
ORI
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
3 - 4
NAC
19%
24%
58%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 3
MSM
21%
24%
56%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -3 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
ORI
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 1
SUN
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
MSM
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
CEN
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TIE
4 - 1
CEN
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
CEN
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |