AD Nogueirense vs Anadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 3
SAN
15%
21%
63%
|
29 | 62 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
ADN
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 0
ACV
17%
23%
60%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 0
ADN
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ADN
2 - 3
COI
36%
25%
40%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ANA
2 - 5
BEL
12%
19%
70%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ANA
1 - 0
LUS
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 2
ANA
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ANA
0 - 1
CES
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ANA
0 - 0
ESP
23%
25%
53%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |