Frei Paulistano vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
50.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 0
AFP
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
JAC
2 - 5
AFP
34%
22%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 1
COR
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 2
ITA
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 0
AFP
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
POT
5 - 3
COR
48%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CEN
2 - 2
POT
53%
25%
23%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
POT
1 - 1
VIT
33%
27%
41%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ABC
3 - 1
POT
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
JAC
3 - 7
POT
32%
22%
47%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |