Frei Paulistano vs Falcon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BOC
0 - 1
AFP
44%
23%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
AFP
2 - 1
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 0
AFP
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
AFP
1 - 2
CON
7%
15%
78%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
AFP
2 - 0
DOR
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Falcon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FFC
4 - 1
AME
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ATG
1 - 3
FFC
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
FFC
0 - 1
ITA
21%
22%
56%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
FFC
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AME
0 - 2
FFC
66%
19%
16%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |