AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
23%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ALG
0 - 3
AGD
24%
30%
46%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 0
ALC
57%
25%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MER
0 - 1
AGD
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
AGD
2 - 1
AGU
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 0
AGD
51%
26%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
BET
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
POR
1 - 1
RJA
36%
30%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 1
MAR
52%
28%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
MAZ
0 - 1
RJA
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
LOR
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |