AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 0
AGD
33%
30%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 1
AGD
22%
29%
49%
|
58 | 23 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
AGD
1 - 1
ECI
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
SEV
2 - 1
AGD
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
AGD
3 - 2
CPC
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 1
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
MOR
0 - 1
RJA
35%
29%
37%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
RJA
3 - 1
TOR
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
MOT
0 - 4
RJA
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
RJA
0 - 3
AGD
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |