AgD Ceuta vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
ICR
1 - 1
AGD
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
AGD
0 - 0
POL
36%
29%
36%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
SEV
0 - 2
AGD
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
AGD
0 - 0
MEL
31%
29%
40%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1998 |
CDB
2 - 1
AGD
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
MOR
0 - 0
MOT
50%
25%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
ECI
0 - 1
MOR
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
MOR
3 - 1
PLA
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
MAN
1 - 0
MOR
56%
25%
19%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
ICR
1 - 3
MOR
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |