Alcorcón vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
43%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ZAR
0 - 2
ALC
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 1
ALB
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
LUG
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ELC
3 - 1
ALC
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDT
34%
30%
36%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MAL
1 - 2
EXT
69%
21%
10%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 0
MAL
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
MAL
1 - 1
SPO
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GIM
0 - 1
MAL
20%
29%
51%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
NUM
1 - 1
MAL
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |